Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Master Graduate, department of business administration, faculty of financial science, management and entrepreneurship, university of Kashan, Kashan, Iran

2 Esmaeil Mazroui Nasrabadi assistant professor, department of business administration, faculty of financial science, management and entrepreneurship, university of Kashan, Kashan, Iran

Abstract

The supply chain of the food industry is very important for countries. In recent years, occurrences such as floods, frost, heatstroke, shutdown of some layers of the supply chain, cause a ripple effect in the supply chain of food products. The occurrence of disturbances and specifically the ripple effect can make the country face many challenges, therefore it is necessary to identify and analyze the strategies to deal with the ripple effect. This research has been done in two stages: qualitative (with the aim of identifying coping strategies) and quantitative (with the aim of scenario modeling and analysis). The method of analysis is thematic analysis in the first stage and fuzzy cognitive map in the second stage. The findings show 84 primary codes that were grouped into 21 sub-categories and 4 main categories of "Strategic Management", "Operations Management", "Compilation and Correct Implementation of Laws" and "Supply Chain Management". The analysis of backward scenarios shows the importance of "supplier relationship management", "cooperation and coordination in the supply chain" and "contingency plans", and the analysis of forward scenarios shows the importance of "monitoring environmental changes" and "strategic plan”. Focusing on short-term plans, improving the capabilities of managers in the field of decision-making and problem-solving skills, adjusting supplier selection criteria, improving the design of the supply network based on backup locations, and the existence of safety stock for strategic goods should be the attention of industrialists.

Keywords

Main Subjects