Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
Abstract
Nowadays quantitative methods have become very important tools for forecasting purposes in markets as for improved decisions and investment. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important factors involved in selecting method; Artificial Neural Network (ANNs) arc flexible computing frameworks that can be applied to a wide range of forecasting with a high degree of accuracy, in this research, Fuzzy logic and Artificial Neural Network are integrated in to the Fuzzy Back- Propagation Network (FBPN) for sales forecasting in Wood and Paper industry. The proposed system is evaluated through the real world data provided by a Wood an d Paper company and experimental results indicate that the Fuzzy Back- Propagation approach outperforms are better other two different forecasting models (Linear Regression and ARIMA time series model) in MAPE measures.
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